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DutchPartisan's avatar

As well as divert the attention away from the Wests crumbling economy. Historically a war economy has always been a good successor to a regular economy gone bad.

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Bufo74's avatar

The likelihood of Israel doing anything to truly trigger regime change is unlikely . A pro western monarch in Iran would radically change the Middle Eastern environment and force Israeli right wingers into retreat . The current status quo is helpful for their maintaining a strong anti Islamic stance and pushing through an expansionist agenda off the back of events such as October 7th.

For this reason I personally believe we will see limited but high publicity airstrikes.

The worst case scenario an attempt at triggering massive revolt in Iran by striking the leadership at key parts of their apparatus .

The risk of another Iraq in that event is high though it be between public and state security apparatus and be very bloody and probably inconclusive. The Shah won’t be coming back anytime soon I doubt .

Too much of the status quo benefits people like Netanyahu who have formed their leadership around an enmity that will never end . Ditto the Mullahs

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