Why the Labour victory may be a ‘good thing’

Letters from O'Brien #57

Dear Mr Smith,

The UK election results exemplify a pretty radical change. The populist took a strong share of the vote, but beyond this many other strange things occurred. From the outset, most assumed this would be a battle between Reform UK and Labour, with the ‘hoped for’ result being a Reform victory, and the ‘realistic’ result being a Labour victory. This is essentially what occurred, but the finer details reveal several issues.

It seems to me that Farage and Reform UK are the only ones highlighting the real issues of the day; mass migration, economic stagnation, crime, population replacement ideology, and so on. These are the most tangible issues in the UK today, thus if a party is willing to step up and answer these things, then they are the best option on the table.

THE ELECTIONS

What ended up happening in the UK elections highlighted a few key points which must be addressed. Realistically, most knew that Labour would emerge victorious for two reasons; firstly, Reform UK is an ‘online party’, appealing primarily to Gen Z, whilst everywhere else they have basically been painted as extremists. Secondly, the voter base appears split based on generation; Gen Z swung toward Reform UK, whilst Millennials and Gen X favoured Labour (as has always been the case). But what really threw a spanner in the works was the Boomer vote, which still went to the Tories, despite boomers being one of the most vocal dissenters against immigration policy.

Compared to pre-polling surveys, the Tories managed to do ‘better’ than what had been predicted; it was assumed that the Tories would be completely wiped out. However, they did manage to ‘survive’, but barely (especially for a major party). This is still a good thing, since their voter base has clearly dwindled to record lows, but it still highlights a clear issue, which is that Boomers will still vote conservative even though they despise their policies. Nevertheless, losing over 200 seats, the Tories are out for the time being, and I imagine their voter base will diminish further in the coming years.

The predicted Labour victory was also riddled with oddities. It was noted that a large percentage of Labours vote were not ‘pro-labour’, but rather ‘anti-Tories’ votes. This is relevant, and I’ll talk about it in a bit. What was also surprising was just how bad a victory it was. With 34 percent of the vote, it is one of the poorest victory performances in recent years. This again, highlights a disaffected voter base, split on basically everything.

All of this led to a rather surprising outcome. While both Labour walked away with another 214 seats (for a total of 411) and the Conservatives lost a massive 252 (for a total of 121), Reform UK walked away with only 4 seats, despite being third! To put this into perspective, the party which polled fourth - the Liberal Democrats - scored 72 seats. The Liberal Democrats received around 3,400,000 votes. Reform UK received over 4,000,000.

This means that statistically, the Libdems have one representative for every 55,000 voters, whilst Reform has one representative for every 1,000,000 voters. If this doesn’t make sense, I’m with you – it’s a broken system.

In fact, this has also caused substantial outrage on the far left. Just like Reform, the Greens also received a considerable vote (coming fifth, after the Libdems), yet both Reform and the Greens hold less than 1 percent representation in parliament. The Libdems hold 11 percent, for context. In fact, only Libdem, Tories, and Labour hold more than 1 percent of the seats. Understandably, the entire electoral system is being called into question, since it clearly breaks the so called ‘democratic convention’ one is often told about. It should be clear at this point that the entire political system in the UK is controlled.

THE ‘BENEFITS’ OF A LABOUR VICTORY

Now for the important issues… With a Labour majority, things may, ironically, be looking up, in the future at least.

Make no mistake, I believe Labour is evil. In fact, the current iteration of the party represents perhaps the worst possible concoction of globalism, technocracy, and anti-humanism yet seen in England. This new administration has all the usual characteristics, it is anti-English, deeply tied with defence contractors, and interlinked with the Israel lobby. The infamous legacy of Tony Blair lives on in Labour leader Keir Starmer, who has openly said that he prefers Davos to Westminster. Starmer and his administration are likely to roll out such things as digital IDs, and other technocratic control mechanisms. This must be resisted, obviously.

 Note how a large portion of votes cast in favour of Labour were done not out of support for Labour, but out of disdain for the Conservatives. This is important to highlight, because it means that an already substantial portion of the weak Labour victory is not even on board with Labours policies. Thus, they could be categorised as swing voters, likely to jump on whatever seems appealing in the next election cycle.

Unlike Labour (winning because of hatred) and the Conservatives (winning from preferential voting), Reform UK’s voter base is highly motivated. This means it is an ‘all in’ vote, representing the desire for real change, with a clear vision; anti-migration, deportation, etc. No other party’s cohort has this clear vision shared amongst most voters, since both major parties essentially exists because few people are aware of alternatives.

But by far the biggest ‘benefit’ of this Labour majority is action and rhetoric. UK Labour is one of the most profoundly out of touch political institutions in the west. All its historical voter-blocks have been lost. In the past, Labour’s appeal was to the working class, but in recent years they have largely lost this vote as the working man is cast to the side in favour of DEI policies. In fact, Labour has been arguably the most hostile and dismissive of the working-class Englishman. The other major group in the past were socialist, yet they too have become disenchanted; Labour has been profoundly pro-regime for a long time.

The profoundly dislikeable character of Labour towards the average citizen was highlighted by both George Galloway and Jeremy Corbyn. Both unhinged socialist, they both received harsh criticism from Labour for… being England-first. That is, both Corbyn (for a time at least) and Galloway were pro-British socialists, arguing for the working man and standing against globalism. Galloway is still on it, in recent months calling out net zero policies, the Ukraine war, immigration, middle eastern conflicts, and so forth, in favour of a socialist focus on the British working class. Corbyn was slandered as an ‘antisemite’ by Labour during his time, and Galloway was viciously disavowed recently. While both men’s socialist ideologies are somewhat unhinged, it is abundantly clear that these misguided souls nevertheless took the correct route; England first, and this was clearly a step against the regime.

So that raises the question… apart from swing voters and the few out of touch millennials, who the hell is voting for Labour? The answer should not be surprising; immigrants! All one needs to do is look at elected Labour officials in the London region. Practically every single one is an immigrant, elected, rather obviously, by riding off an immigrant voter base. This is one of the primary reasons why Labour - and many ‘labour equivalents’ across the west - favour mass migration since it ensures easy victories in migrant-dominated districts.

However, returning to my earlier point. Labour is universally disliked on both the left and right. Beyond relying on swing voters and immigrants, Labour has no real support base in England. The icing on the cake is Keir Starmer’s rhetoric. Some of the most out of touch, outdated, ‘wokist’ rhetoric still on the market. Much of what UK Labour says and does feels like a call-back to 2018. They still to this day focus on pronouns, transgenderism, and so on. These are basically dead concepts amongst socialists and on the right, and they have been dead since at least 2022. Most leftists are now anti-Israel, something Starmer (or rather, his wife) will never touch on, and this basically solidifies future hostilities between leftists and Labour. But like I said, this is a good thing; Labour’s rhetoric is so profoundly out of touch, and hostile to the average human being, that they will so rapidly alienate the nation that they too will be destroyed as a party during the next election cycle.

WHERE TO GO NOW

This is why they rely on immigration policy. It is the only group likely to vote in their favour if things truly do play out as ridiculously as one may imagine. For the next few years, the pressure must be on shifting the Overton window. This means forcing new conversations amongst politicians on immigration, deportation, stopping crime, and normalising the conversations regarding foreign interference in UK politics.

All the while, both Labour and the Tories must be de-legitimised as political parties. The Tories are basically dead in the water, but people mustn’t forget this in next election cycle. Likewise, socialists and true conservatives have common issues to address; the English working class, English industry, and globalism. All of this should work - particularly on the left - towards de-legitimising the authority of Labour. Preferably, in the next few years Labour will be perceived by most conservatives and socialists alike as a regime-controlled dialectical tool, just like the Tories. Eventually this criticism will also reach the Libdems and Greens, who are both against an England-first ideal.

Lastly, it is necessary that - just as with the coming Trump admin - pressure be put on Reform to force a nationalist stance. This means criticising anything anti-English, and criticising anything which abides within the current ‘regime truth’. For example, if a Reform politician were to play into old tropes like ‘antisemtisim’ or the ‘alt right’, they should be called out. The useless anecdotes do nothing but cede power back towards the institutions, which are already hostile towards them and towards the British in general.

With enough pressure on the Tories and Labour, they will lose legitimacy. The next few years will likely be a rollercoaster, as Labour - against the will of practically the entire nation - attempt to roll out technocratic measures for population monitoring. During this time, resentment towards the regime will almost certainly grow, and this will open pathways for true patriots.

It is possible that Reform UK could position itself to appeal to both conservatives and disaffected pro-English socialists, presenting itself as a patriotic England-first party capable of uniting the country against foreign influence. Realistically I think economics should not be the focus for Reform. It is a cultural and national battle. Socialists, capitalists, and whoever else should be able to join forces, since the current battle is over the nations culture and social future, not over an abstract economic system. Yes, socialism likely will not work, but an Englishman is an Englishman nonetheless, and his existence as an individual and as a member of one of the oldest and proudest empires is under existential threat.

Sincerely yours,

O’Brien